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Red120
317329.7
525471.3
151818.2
Blue74
124133.6
34062.6
155940.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11113605020025030035012074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
Unranked
71.30.0
71.371.3
Auto2.1
Teleop69.2
End0.0
red by 8.7
340
Unranked
62.60.0
62.662.6
Auto1.6
Teleop61.0
End0.0
Second
3173
Unranked
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto0.2
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 11.0
1559
Unranked
40.80.0
40.840.8
Auto0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Third
1518
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto0.6
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 15.4
1241
Unranked
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto0.3
Teleop33.3
End0.0