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Red59
383832.5
155940.8
503045.5
Blue52
395123.5
304429.1
57831.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122740501001502005952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5030
Unranked
45.50.0
45.545.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop45.9
End0.0
red by 13.6
578
Unranked
31.90.0
31.931.9
Auto0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
1559
Unranked
40.80.0
40.840.8
Auto0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 11.7
3044
Unranked
29.10.0
29.129.1
Auto0.0
Teleop29.1
End0.0
Third
3838
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto1.8
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 9.0
3951
Unranked
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto0.8
Teleop22.7
End0.0