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Red112
493033.8
150751.6
525471.3
Blue90
301542.8
112643.8
317329.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16010305020025030011290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5254
Unranked
71.30.0
71.371.3
Auto2.1
Teleop69.2
End0.0
red by 27.5
1126
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
1507
Unranked
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto6.8
Teleop44.7
End0.0
red by 8.8
3015
Unranked
42.80.0
42.842.8
Auto-1.1
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Third
4930
Unranked
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto0.6
Teleop33.2
End0.0
red by 4.1
3173
Unranked
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto0.2
Teleop29.6
End0.0