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Red154
34047.6
19546.5
493031.3
Blue108
525432.4
2039.1
362424.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12685050100150200250154108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#4
47.60.5
47.147.6
Auto0.9
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 8.5
20
#8
39.10.4
38.739.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
195
#3
46.50.5
46.046.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop47.1
End0.0
red by 14.0
5254
#15
32.40.4
32.032.4
Auto0.2
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Third
4930
#18
31.30.5
30.831.3
Auto0.8
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 7.0
3624
#22
24.30.4
23.824.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0