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Red5
33310.3
111120.9
493031.3
Blue25
523621.4
525432.4
28736.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50340206080100120140525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4930
#18
31.33.7
21.417.7
Auto0.8
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 5.7
287
#6
36.91.1
8.57.5
Auto0.4
Teleop36.5
End0.0
Second
1111
#21
20.93.7
16.112.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 11.5
5254
#15
32.41.1
17.616.5
Auto0.2
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Third
333
#32
10.33.2
12.39.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 11.1
5236
#29
21.41.1
11.810.7
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0