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Red21
111120.9
22925.3
14507.3
Blue51
362424.3
34047.6
493031.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34730501001502002151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#19
25.31.1
16.615.5
Auto1.4
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 22.4
340
#4
47.61.6
28.627.1
Auto0.9
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
1111
#21
20.91.7
14.913.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 10.4
4930
#18
31.31.6
23.521.9
Auto0.8
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
1450
#35
7.31.7
10.18.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 17.0
3624
#22
24.31.6
17.616.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0