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Red28
523621.4
51496.5
52724.0
Blue58
14507.3
14522.8
19546.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355501001502002502858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
527
#17
24.00.9
21.220.2
Auto0.4
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 22.4
195
#3
46.50.5
26.827.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Second
5236
#29
21.40.9
11.110.2
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 1.3
145
#23
22.80.9
18.419.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
5149
#34
6.50.9
6.75.8
Auto0.9
Teleop5.6
End0.0
blue by 0.8
1450
#35
7.30.9
8.49.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.5
End0.0