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Red50
450813.8
111120.9
420318.6
Blue62
33310.3
25020.8
19546.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295601001502005062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#21
20.91.3
12.714.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 25.6
195
#3
46.50.4
27.327.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Second
4203
#25
18.61.3
10.511.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 2.2
250
#26
20.80.7
15.516.2
Auto1.9
Teleop18.8
End0.0
Third
4508
#31
13.81.3
10.712.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 3.5
333
#32
10.30.4
11.011.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.5
End0.0