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Red3
51496.5
304433.9
22925.3
Blue4
426617.5
36876.2
149334.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4133020608010034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#10
33.93.2
15.912.7
Auto0.4
Teleop33.5
End0.0
blue by 0.3
34.22.6
13.110.5
Auto0.7
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Second
229
#19
25.32.8
16.814.0
Auto1.4
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 7.7
4266
#27
17.52.6
11.58.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
5149
#34
6.53.2
8.85.6
Auto0.9
Teleop5.6
End0.0
red by 0.3
3687
#36
6.22.6
10.98.3
Auto0.3
Teleop6.0
End0.0