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Red76
524010.7
362424.3
503036.4
Blue55
525432.4
493031.3
192326.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506301001502007655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.41.7
21.723.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.5
End0.0
red by 4.0
5254
#15
32.40.6
17.817.2
Auto0.2
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Second
3624
#22
24.31.7
22.023.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 7.0
4930
#18
31.30.6
23.122.5
Auto0.8
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
5240
#33
10.71.7
10.111.8
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 15.9
1923
#13
26.60.4
22.121.7
Auto0.0
Teleop26.6
End0.0