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Red122
192326.6
523621.4
26344.0
Blue106
2039.1
33310.3
426617.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76520100150122106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#5
44.02.3
38.941.2
Auto0.7
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 4.8
20
#8
39.13.5
36.640.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Second
1923
#13
26.62.3
21.724.0
Auto0.0
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 9.1
4266
#27
17.53.5
10.514.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
5236
#29
21.43.4
14.818.2
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 11.1
333
#32
10.32.4
10.713.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.5
End0.0