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Red23
420318.6
53321.0
81018.5
Blue44
19546.5
524010.7
2039.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385001001502002502344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#24
21.01.0
13.612.5
Auto0.5
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 25.5
195
#3
46.50.3
17.317.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Second
4203
#25
18.61.0
12.811.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 20.5
20
#8
39.10.5
23.422.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Third
810
#30
18.50.9
15.214.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
red by 7.8
5240
#33
10.70.5
8.98.5
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0