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Red109
14522.8
503036.4
81018.5
Blue86
192326.6
111120.9
166527.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6765405060809010011010986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.43.1
33.636.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.5
End0.0
red by 9.1
1665
#11
27.41.1
24.926.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Second
145
#23
22.83.1
20.023.1
Auto0.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 3.8
1923
#13
26.60.9
23.023.9
Auto0.0
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Third
810
#30
18.52.6
16.018.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 2.4
1111
#21
20.91.1
19.921.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0