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Red80
279129.3
493031.3
304433.9
Blue104
26344.0
51496.5
420318.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8154010015020080104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#10
33.90.4
30.831.1
Auto0.4
Teleop33.5
End0.0
blue by 10.1
263
#5
44.02.5
40.743.2
Auto0.7
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
4930
#18
31.30.4
21.321.6
Auto0.8
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 12.7
4203
#25
18.63.0
15.718.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
2791
#12
29.30.4
28.128.5
Auto0.9
Teleop28.5
End0.0
red by 22.8
5149
#34
6.53.0
4.07.0
Auto0.9
Teleop5.6
End0.0