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Red100
87021.6
2039.1
149334.2
Blue36
14522.8
524010.7
450813.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions973905015020010036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#8
39.10.5
37.037.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 16.3
145
#23
22.80.7
23.122.4
Auto0.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Second
34.20.5
33.433.9
Auto0.7
Teleop33.5
End0.0
red by 20.4
4508
#31
13.80.7
14.513.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
870
#28
21.60.5
21.221.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 10.9
5240
#33
10.70.7
11.410.7
Auto0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0