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Red34
523621.4
426617.5
166527.4
Blue11
36876.2
558520.3
450813.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31250204060803411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1665
#11
27.40.2
11.712.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop27.7
End0.0
red by 7.1
5585
#16
20.31.3
6.85.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
5236
#29
21.40.2
10.711.0
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 7.7
4508
#31
13.81.3
11.610.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.0
End0.0
Third
4266
#27
17.50.2
8.99.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 11.3
3687
#36
6.21.3
8.37.0
Auto0.3
Teleop6.0
End0.0