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Red139
285262.2
30356.1
420318.6
Blue106
192326.6
304433.9
523621.4
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14663050100200250139106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.20.0
62.762.7
Auto0.9
Teleop61.4
End0.0
red by 28.4
3044
#10
33.90.5
32.733.2
Auto0.4
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Second
303
#1
56.10.0
56.556.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop56.4
End0.0
red by 29.4
1923
#13
26.60.5
25.525.9
Auto0.0
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Third
4203
#25
18.60.0
19.019.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 2.9
5236
#29
21.40.5
20.320.8
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0