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Red116
525432.4
2039.1
362424.3
Blue121
192326.6
304433.9
523621.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9873050150200116121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#8
39.10.3
39.639.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 5.2
3044
#10
33.90.7
33.233.9
Auto0.4
Teleop33.5
End0.0
Second
5254
#15
32.40.3
32.933.3
Auto0.2
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 5.8
1923
#13
26.60.7
25.926.6
Auto0.0
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Third
3624
#22
24.30.3
24.825.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 2.8
5236
#29
21.40.7
20.821.4
Auto0.6
Teleop20.8
End0.0