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Red166
23344.1
198679.6
457529.3
Blue103
14433.3
12043.1
53324.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15786050100200250166103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.60.4
79.179.6
Auto9.0
Teleop70.6
End0.0
red by 36.5
120
#2
43.10.0
43.043.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop43.1
End0.0
Second
233
#5
44.10.4
43.644.1
Auto6.6
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 10.8
144
#19
33.30.0
33.233.3
Auto1.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Third
4575
#35
29.30.4
28.829.3
Auto0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 5.1
533
#33
24.10.0
24.124.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop24.6
End0.0