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Red103
421327.1
566719.1
504014.0
Blue91
300017.8
70636.7
155940.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317305010015020010391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.13.2
19.722.9
Auto0.9
Teleop26.2
End0.0
blue by 13.7
40.81.4
31.933.3
Auto0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
5667
#23
19.13.9
10.314.2
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 17.6
706
#9
36.71.7
26.628.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.9
End0.0
Third
5040
#42
14.03.6
8.912.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 3.9
3000
#22
17.82.3
10.512.8
Auto0.4
Teleop17.4
End0.0