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Red81
408547.7
217210.8
411516.8
Blue30
14433.3
62016.8
103826.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6345020801001208130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#4Sur
47.71.0
39.440.5
Auto1.8
Teleop45.9
End0.0
red by 14.5
144
#19Sur
33.31.1
22.921.8
Auto1.3
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
4115
#34
16.81.5
9.010.6
Auto0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 9.5
1038
#16
26.31.6
12.510.8
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Third
2172
#46
10.81.0
14.215.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 5.9
620
#30
16.81.0
14.213.2
Auto-0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0