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Red87
427515.6
124923.3
12043.1
Blue80
70636.7
564411.0
33725.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56552040801008780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#2
43.11.6
28.029.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop43.1
End0.0
red by 6.3
706
#9
36.71.1
28.329.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.9
End0.0
Second
1249
#31
23.31.7
24.025.8
Auto0.8
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 2.0
337
#36
25.31.1
26.727.8
Auto0.4
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Third
4275
#40
15.62.6
3.86.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 4.7
5644
#41
11.01.7
4.96.6
Auto-1.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0