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Red43
504014.0
266514.6
411516.8
Blue87
437110.6
475310.7
198536.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414102060801004387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4115
#34
16.80.2
10.610.8
Auto0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 19.4
1985
#11
36.22.1
28.030.0
Auto0.2
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Second
2665
#38
14.60.1
14.714.8
Auto1.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 3.9
4753
#44
10.73.5
8.111.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.1
End0.0
Third
5040
#42
14.00.1
15.015.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 3.4
4371
#43
10.62.1
9.411.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0