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Red177
198679.6
377716.5
103826.3
Blue104
124923.3
381432.9
493030.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions878260100120140160177104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.64.4
67.972.3
Auto9.0
Teleop70.6
End0.0
red by 46.7
3814
#14
32.90.9
30.431.3
Auto0.5
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
1038
#16
26.37.3
10.818.2
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 4.0
4930
#27
30.30.9
29.530.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
3777
#24
16.57.3
10.617.9
Auto1.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 6.7
1249
#31
23.30.9
25.826.7
Auto0.8
Teleop22.5
End0.0