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Red59
402836.8
176425.4
427515.6
Blue8
266514.6
55414.6
300017.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604602080100120598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#20
36.80.0
35.535.4
Auto-0.9
Teleop37.6
End0.0
red by 18.9
3000
#22
17.83.5
18.715.3
Auto0.4
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Second
1764
#26
25.40.0
20.320.2
Auto0.9
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 10.8
2665
#38
14.62.1
14.812.7
Auto1.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Third
4275
#40
15.60.1
4.14.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 1.1
554
#39
14.63.5
15.912.4
Auto1.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0