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Red100
62016.8
198679.6
475310.7
Blue152
414539.1
101429.6
408547.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9210202004006008001,0001,200100152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.60.1
72.372.4
Auto9.0
Teleop70.6
End0.0
red by 31.8
47.72.4
41.543.9
Auto1.8
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
620
#30
16.80.1
13.313.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 22.3
4145
#10
39.12.4
38.841.2
Auto0.5
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Third
4753
#44
10.70.2
11.611.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 19.0
1014
#17
29.62.4
23.525.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop29.7
End0.0