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Red60
208131.6
475310.7
428419.8
Blue50
381432.9
217210.8
300017.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496001002003004005006050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2081
#25
31.60.4
27.127.5
Auto0.6
Teleop31.1
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3814
#14
32.90.2
32.232.0
Auto0.5
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Second
4284
#37
19.80.7
13.213.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop20.2
End0.0
red by 2.0
3000
#22
17.80.3
15.314.9
Auto0.4
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
4753
#44
10.70.7
11.812.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 0.2
2172
#46
10.80.2
12.712.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop11.5
End0.0