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Red121
566719.1
402836.8
53724.3
Blue56
319327.8
62016.8
124923.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726420408010012014012156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#20
36.82.4
35.437.8
Auto-0.9
Teleop37.6
End0.0
red by 9.0
3193
#21
27.80.6
24.423.9
Auto2.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
537
#29
24.32.4
17.419.8
Auto0.6
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 1.0
1249
#31
23.30.6
29.328.8
Auto0.8
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Third
5667
#23
19.12.4
20.322.7
Auto0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 2.3
620
#30
16.80.6
13.412.9
Auto-0.8
Teleop17.5
End0.0