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Red22
300017.8
475310.7
326628.0
Blue73
53724.3
313824.3
103826.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497101001502002503002273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3266
#18
28.01.6
26.625.0
Auto1.9
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 1.7
1038
#16
26.30.2
29.429.7
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
3000
#22
17.82.7
14.912.3
Auto0.4
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 6.5
3138
#12
24.30.1
20.921.1
Auto1.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
4753
#44
10.72.7
12.59.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 13.6
537
#29
24.30.1
19.819.9
Auto0.6
Teleop23.7
End0.0