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Red99
176425.4
55414.6
319327.8
Blue114
493521.1
326628.0
70636.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4578010015020099114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3193
#21
27.82.3
21.824.2
Auto2.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
blue by 8.9
706
#9
36.71.9
29.931.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop36.9
End0.0
Second
1764
#26
25.42.3
22.624.9
Auto0.9
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 2.6
3266
#18
28.01.9
26.728.6
Auto1.9
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Third
554
#39
14.63.4
7.811.2
Auto1.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 6.5
4935
#32
21.11.9
18.920.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0