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Red29
53324.1
124923.3
332410.8
Blue132
381432.9
155940.8
457529.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5292015020029132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#33
24.11.6
21.319.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 16.6
40.82.4
37.539.9
Auto0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
1249
#31
23.31.6
25.523.9
Auto0.8
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 9.7
3814
#14
32.92.4
27.730.1
Auto0.5
Teleop32.4
End0.0
Third
3324
#45
10.81.6
13.411.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.1
End0.0
blue by 18.5
4575
#35
29.32.4
24.026.4
Auto0.3
Teleop28.9
End0.0