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Red194
159245.9
37958.4
319320.3
Blue154
4850.0
541340.4
29112.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1189250150200194154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#1
58.41.3
56.657.9
Auto0.5
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 8.4
48
#4
50.00.9
48.849.7
Auto0.6
Teleop49.4
End0.0
Second
45.91.3
44.145.3
Auto5.0
Teleop40.9
End0.0
red by 5.5
40.40.9
39.240.1
Auto0.5
Teleop39.9
End0.0
Third
3193
#54
20.31.7
17.919.5
Auto0.9
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 7.7
291
#49
12.60.9
11.412.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.0
End0.0