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Qual 132015 Buckeye Regional
Red74
541811.8
478016.1
4850.0
Blue54
159012.5
408539.6
359111.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64340501001507454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#4
50.01.1
41.6→42.7
Auto0.6
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 10.4
4085
#6
39.61.2
23.3→24.5
Auto1.4
Teleop38.2
End0.0
Second
4780
#25
16.11.5
11.8→13.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 3.6
1590
#40
12.51.2
8.9→10.0
Auto0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
5418
#38
11.81.5
8.2→9.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 0.3
3591
#43
11.50.8
7.9→8.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0