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Red34
3067.3
319320.3
359111.5
Blue105
301024.9
260316.6
541340.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156505010015020034105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3193
#54
20.30.9
11.512.4
Auto0.9
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 20.1
40.42.3
29.031.3
Auto0.5
Teleop39.9
End0.0
Second
3591
#43
11.50.5
6.47.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 13.4
3010
#17
24.93.8
18.121.9
Auto0.0
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Third
306
#33
7.30.5
5.46.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 9.3
2603
#30
16.62.3
12.815.0
Auto1.6
Teleop15.1
End0.0