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Red139
411912.4
426944.9
499123.7
Blue46
51468.8
541811.8
201019.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5329020408010012014016013946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.94.4
28.933.3
Auto0.3
Teleop44.6
End0.0
red by 25.0
2010
#26
19.91.0
14.815.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Second
4991
#21
23.74.4
15.920.3
Auto0.4
Teleop23.3
End0.0
red by 11.9
5418
#38
11.81.0
9.410.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
Third
4119
#46
12.47.3
6.313.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 3.6
5146
#45
8.81.0
9.510.5
Auto1.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0