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Red83
301024.9
29112.6
541811.8
Blue97
201019.9
6321.2
198731.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35590501001502008397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3010
#17
24.93.6
21.925.5
Auto0.0
Teleop24.9
End0.0
blue by 6.7
1987
#12
31.62.0
22.824.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Second
291
#49
12.62.1
7.89.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 8.6
63
#29
21.22.0
19.021.0
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
5418
#38
11.83.6
10.414.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 8.1
2010
#26
19.93.3
15.819.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.1
End0.0