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Red36
326030.8
350415.5
51468.8
Blue4
301024.9
130813.3
412117.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5958204080100120364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.1
28.827.6
Auto0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
red by 5.9
3010
#17
24.94.4
25.521.0
Auto0.0
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Second
3504
#47
15.51.1
20.719.5
Auto0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 1.8
4121
#22
17.34.4
21.517.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
5146
#45
8.81.9
9.47.5
Auto1.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 4.5
1308
#36
13.34.4
16.311.9
Auto2.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0