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Red30
12023.2
494010.4
460110.8
Blue20
416510.9
12489.4
566711.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4125060801001203020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#19
23.20.5
21.020.5
Auto0.1
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 12.1
5667
#48
11.10.7
9.48.8
Auto1.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Second
4601
#39
10.80.5
7.97.5
Auto0.6
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 0.1
4165
#50
10.90.7
12.211.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
4940
#52
10.40.8
10.79.9
Auto0.8
Teleop9.5
End0.0
red by 1.0
1248
#53
9.40.7
6.45.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.5
End0.0