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Red46
45113.9
67714.4
499123.7
Blue81
351120.2
301024.9
15625.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496201001502002503003504681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4991
#21
23.70.3
22.422.0
Auto0.4
Teleop23.3
End0.0
blue by 2.1
156
#15
25.80.9
23.624.5
Auto1.3
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Second
677
#37
14.40.5
17.917.3
Auto1.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 10.5
3010
#17
24.91.5
21.022.5
Auto0.0
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Third
451
#27
13.90.3
12.712.4
Auto0.3
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 6.3
3511
#13
20.20.9
17.718.6
Auto0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0