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Red82
3067.3
37958.4
178718.4
Blue10
541811.8
159012.5
350415.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions774701001502008210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#1
58.40.4
51.151.4
Auto0.5
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 43.0
3504
#47
15.52.2
19.517.4
Auto0.1
Teleop15.4
End0.0
Second
1787
#31
18.40.6
16.416.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 6.0
1590
#40
12.53.3
16.212.8
Auto0.2
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
306
#33
7.30.4
7.27.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 4.4
5418
#38
11.83.3
17.314.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0