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Red82
416510.9
170815.7
408539.6
Blue36
6321.2
260316.6
45113.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624702040801001201408236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.6
34.636.1
Auto1.4
Teleop38.2
End0.0
red by 18.4
63
#29
21.20.8
22.621.8
Auto0.2
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Second
1708
#41
15.71.0
15.916.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 0.9
2603
#30
16.60.8
16.515.7
Auto1.6
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
4165
#50
10.91.6
11.513.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 3.0
451
#27
13.90.8
12.411.6
Auto0.3
Teleop13.6
End0.0