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Red144
261457.0
23477.5
326635.6
Blue36
46140.5
67714.4
131718.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18550010015025030035014436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#1
77.50.0
77.577.5
Auto6.2
Teleop71.3
End0.0
red by 36.9
461
#26
40.50.0
40.540.5
Auto0.5
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Second
2614
#12
57.00.0
57.057.0
Auto3.6
Teleop53.4
End0.0
red by 38.3
1317
#22
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
3266
#14
35.60.0
35.635.6
Auto0.8
Teleop34.8
End0.0
red by 21.2
677
#11
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto1.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0