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Red144
426944.9
112643.8
44748.6
Blue60
46140.5
67714.4
131718.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14657010020025030014460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#24
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto0.7
Teleop47.9
End0.0
red by 8.1
461
#26
40.50.0
40.540.5
Auto0.5
Teleop40.0
End0.0
Second
44.90.0
44.944.9
Auto0.3
Teleop44.6
End0.0
red by 26.2
1317
#22
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 29.4
677
#11
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto1.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0