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Red133
408547.7
112643.8
461118.5
Blue76
172056.1
131718.7
326635.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108105608012014016013376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.0
47.747.7
Auto1.8
Teleop45.9
End0.0
blue by 8.3
1720
#17
56.10.0
56.156.1
Auto1.0
Teleop55.1
End0.0
Second
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto2.3
Teleop41.5
End0.0
red by 8.2
3266
#14
35.60.0
35.635.6
Auto0.8
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Third
4611
#29
18.50.0
18.518.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 0.2
1317
#22
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0