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Red32
478016.1
44748.6
131718.7
Blue20
332418.9
313824.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8744020601001201401603220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#24
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto0.7
Teleop47.9
End0.0
red by 24.3
3138
#15
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto1.5
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Second
1317
#22
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto1.0
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 0.2
3324
#23
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto1.1
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
4780
#21
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 6.7
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto0.5
Teleop8.8
End0.0