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Qual 102015 Oklahoma Regional
Red0
429811.8
345715.6
317917.7
Blue19
461211.6
349815.6
174221.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37350206080100019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3179
#33
17.71.5
19.0→17.6
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 3.3
1742
#34
21.01.2
16.0→14.8
Auto0.8
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Second
3457
#21
15.62.0
10.1→8.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Level
3498
#24
15.61.2
12.3→11.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
4298
#29
11.82.0
7.0→5.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.0
End0.0
red by 0.2
4612
#48
11.61.2
10.8→9.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0