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Red49
55788.8
239528.7
277316.0
Blue42
177547.4
316010.2
20046.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46464050554942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2395
#16
28.70.1
22.922.9
Auto0.3
Teleop28.4
End0.0
blue by 18.7
47.40.0
27.027.1
Auto0.0
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Second
2773
#49
16.00.1
16.716.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 5.8
3160
#56
10.20.0
8.98.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
Third
5578
#52
8.80.1
8.48.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0
red by 2.2
2004
#44
6.50.0
11.511.6
Auto0.0
Teleop6.5
End0.0