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Red45
93221.4
235425.1
500111.6
Blue6
317213.8
237317.5
29508.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41330206080100456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.3
12.713.0
Auto0.1
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 7.6
2373
#17
17.52.5
11.49.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Second
932
#28
21.40.2
16.416.6
Auto0.1
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 7.5
3172
#38
13.82.5
9.26.8
Auto0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
5001
#47
11.60.3
12.112.4
Auto0.0
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 3.1
2950
#59
8.51.6
14.913.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.7
End0.0