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Red58
177547.4
493315.4
246114.8
Blue37
366018.0
554811.8
317213.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions622702040801001201401605837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.0
29.429.4
Auto0.0
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 29.4
3660
#19
18.00.3
13.013.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Second
4933
#27
15.40.0
16.516.4
Auto0.1
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 1.6
3172
#38
13.80.3
10.911.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
2461
#35
14.80.0
12.712.7
Auto0.0
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 3.0
5548
#32
11.80.3
10.010.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.8
End0.0