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Red20
461211.6
509821.3
156120.3
Blue38
346524.3
242413.1
277316.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514202060801001202038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#22
21.31.6
20.218.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 3.0
3465
#11
24.30.1
17.617.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
1561
#13
20.32.6
18.315.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 4.3
2773
#49
16.00.0
19.219.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
4612
#48
11.62.6
12.710.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2424
#53
13.10.1
8.28.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.0
End0.0